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PCE.WA$7.76-0.77%
Fair $7.76+0.0%

PCE.WA

Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police S.A.

Basic Materials / Agricultural InputsWarsaw

$7.76

-0.06 (-0.77%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.76Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 17/F
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $917.5M · quality 48.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 59/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

17/100

F

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -10.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · PCE.WALocal privado en este navegador · Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$964M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

11.4x

↑

ROE

-10.9%

↓

Gross Margin

4.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.31

↑
52-Week Range$8
$7$9

TradingView lightweight chart

PCE.WA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.760Periodo -6.3%
Fair value: $7.760

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-8.3%

FCF CAGR

+1.9%

FCF margin

36.9%

FCF / Net income

-12.78x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.48B · net income $-71.8M · FCF $917.5M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

4.1%-9.7% pts

Operating margin

-5.8%-11.1% pts

Net margin

-2.9%-6.4% pts

FCF margin

36.9%+10.0% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$2.48B$2.48B$2.97B$5.35B$3.22B
Net Income$-71.8M$-71.8M$-1.07B$-135.4M$113.1M
EBITDA$149.1M$149.1M$-918.5M$20.6M$297.6M
EPS-0.58-0.58-8.62-1.090.91
Gross Margin4.1%4.1%0.2%7.9%13.9%
Operating Margin-5.8%-5.8%-6.9%1.7%5.3%
Net Margin-2.9%-2.9%-36.0%-2.5%3.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.311.310.870.350.27
Current Ratio0.480.48———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$917.5M$917.5M$1.36B$833.1M$866.1M
Returns
ROE-10.9%-10.9%-141.8%-7.3%6.1%
Valuation
P/E————12.58
EV/EBITDA11.3811.38—102.745.51
P/B1.471.472.010.810.77
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-16.3%-16.3%-44.5%66.1%—
EPS Growth93.3%93.3%-690.8%-219.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -15.5%

Total return

-15.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-8.62 → -0.58

Residual

-15.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-15.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.