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PHOSPHATE.BO$138.00+4.94%
Fair $138.00+0.0%

PHOSPHATE.BO

The Phosphate Company Limited

Basic Materials / Agricultural InputsBSE

$138.00

+6.50 (+4.94%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $138.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-50.6M · quality 47.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 3.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · PHOSPHATE.BOLocal privado en este navegador · The Phosphate Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$498M

P/E

11.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.5x

↓

ROE

3.9%

↑

Gross Margin

28.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.23

↓
52-Week Range$138
$130$218

TradingView lightweight chart

PHOSPHATE.BO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $138.00Periodo +525.9%
Fair value: $138.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.0%

FCF / Net income

-1.46x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.27B · net income $34.6M · FCF $-50.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.6%+0.9% pts

Operating margin

6.0%-0.8% pts

Net margin

2.7%+0.4% pts

FCF margin

-4.0%-8.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.27B$1.27B$1.15B$1.47B$1.16B
Net Income$34.6M$34.6M$20.2M$47.0M$27.5M
EBITDA$82.1M$82.1M$70.4M$107.9M$79.6M
EPS9.609.605.6013.047.63
Gross Margin28.6%28.6%26.1%26.0%27.7%
Operating Margin6.0%6.0%18.8%5.8%6.7%
Net Margin2.7%2.7%1.8%3.2%2.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.230.230.240.400.19
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-50.6M$-50.6M$160.1M$-106.1M$55.1M
Returns
ROE3.9%3.9%2.4%5.7%3.5%
Valuation
P/E11.0111.0128.9313.3112.93
EV/EBITDA8.488.4810.388.876.32
P/B0.570.570.690.760.46
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.3%10.3%-21.7%25.9%—
EPS Growth71.4%71.4%-57.1%70.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

8.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$12.25

Spread vs growth

63.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

9.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$14.82

Spread vs growth

62.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$23.86

Spread vs growth

61.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -10.9%

Total return

-10.9%

Start / end P/E

27.7x → 14.4x

EPS bridge

5.60 → 9.60

Residual

-34.3%

EPS growth+71.4%
Multiple rerating-48.0%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-34.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.