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PROV$16.95+0.00%
Fair $16.95+0.0%

PROV

Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.

Financial Services / Banks - RegionalNasdaqGS

$16.95

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $16.95Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 24.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 79/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 16Warnings: 1unknown: 16
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · PROVLocal privado en este navegador · Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$106M

P/E

18.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

4.9%

↓

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

1.66

↑
52-Week Range$17
$15$17

TradingView lightweight chart

PROV price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.95Periodo +131.1%
Fair value: $16.95

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2010–2025 · 15 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.8%

FCF CAGR

+12.7%

FCF margin

20.9%

FCF / Net income

1.30x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $39.0M · net income $6.3M · FCF $8.2M

2010-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

16.0%+14.4% pts

FCF margin

20.9%+19.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Income Statement
Revenue$39.0M$39.0M$38.9M$41.1M$36.3M$35.2M$42.5M$44.4M$42.7M$42.4M$39.3M$39.7M$38.1M$44.2M$51.4M$58.7M$70.2M
Net Income$6.3M$6.3M$7.4M$8.6M$9.1M$7.6M$7.7M$4.4M$2.1M$5.2M$7.5M$9.8M$6.6M$25.8M$10.8M$13.2M$1.1M
EPS——1.061.191.221.001.010.580.280.640.881.070.652.380.961.160.13
Net Margin16.0%16.0%18.9%20.9%25.0%21.5%18.1%10.0%5.0%12.3%19.0%24.7%17.4%58.4%21.0%22.5%1.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.661.661.841.810.66————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$8.2M$8.2M$4.1M$15.6M$11.6M$11.3M$7.7M$106.6M$25.1M$82.0M$46.3M$-58.2M$47.8M$54.0M$-14.9M$-3.3M$1.4M
Returns
ROE4.9%4.9%5.7%6.6%7.1%5.9%6.2%3.7%1.8%4.1%5.6%6.9%4.5%16.1%7.5%9.4%—
Valuation
P/E18.2318.2311.6310.8712.12————————————
P/B0.870.870.660.720.86————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.3%0.3%-5.3%13.1%—-17.1%-4.3%3.9%0.7%7.9%-1.0%4.3%-13.8%-14.1%-12.4%-16.4%—
EPS Growth——-10.9%-2.5%—-1.0%74.1%107.1%-56.3%-27.3%-17.8%64.6%-72.7%147.9%-17.2%792.3%—
Dividend Yield3.3%3.3%———————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +13.2%

Total return

+13.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

1.06 → n/d

Residual

+9.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+9.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.