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RYAM$8.99-1.75%
Fair $8.99+0.0%

RYAM

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc.

Basic Materials / ChemicalsNYSE

$8.99

-0.16 (-1.75%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.99Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 22/D
F-Score: 3/9
High DebtDeclining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $8.6M · quality 23.0/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

22/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 14Warnings: 3unknown: 14
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.46, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -1.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · RYAMLocal privado en este navegador · Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$606M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

9.5x

↓

ROE

-133.5%

↓

Gross Margin

8.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.46

↑
52-Week Range$9
$3$12

TradingView lightweight chart

RYAM price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.990Periodo -77.9%
Fair value: $8.990

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2012–2025 · 13 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.3%

FCF / Net income

0.22x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.47B · net income $-422.5M · FCF $-91.7M

2012-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

8.1%-26.6% pts

Operating margin

0.8%-30.5% pts

Net margin

-28.8%-50.9% pts

FCF margin

-6.3%-24.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Income Statement
Revenue$1.47B$1.47B$1.63B$1.64B$1.72B$1.41B$1.34B$1.43B$1.96B$940.4M$868.7M$941.4M$957.7M$1.05B$1.10B
Net Income$-422.5M$-422.5M$-39.0M$-101.8M$-14.9M$66.4M$555000.00$-22.4M$128.4M$325.0M$73.3M$55.3M$31.7M$219.8M$242.1M
EBITDA$136.9M$136.9M$173.7M$81.3M$176.9M$127.9M$108.0M$89.7M$293.8M$155.6M$225.9M$208.7M$148.6M$363.0M$402.9M
EPS-6.33-6.33-0.59-1.57-0.231.050.01-0.571.965.811.551.300.755.215.74
Gross Margin8.1%8.1%10.2%5.4%7.2%5.3%4.7%3.7%14.9%15.0%20.9%21.5%23.4%31.8%34.7%
Operating Margin0.8%0.8%4.5%0.2%1.6%-0.7%-2.3%-3.7%7.6%6.3%15.8%12.7%6.6%27.6%31.2%
Net Margin-28.8%-28.8%-2.4%-6.2%-0.9%4.7%0.0%-1.6%6.6%34.6%8.4%5.9%3.3%21.0%22.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.462.461.021.041.03——————-50.16-15.000.00—
Current Ratio1.371.37—————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-91.7M$-91.7M$95.7M$8.6M$-69.4M$138.0M$61.2M$-48.6M$118.1M$54.8M$143.5M$124.2M$113.0M$162.0M$199.8M
Returns
ROE-133.5%-133.5%-5.5%-13.6%-1.8%8.2%0.1%-3.3%18.2%46.8%34.6%-322.4%-50.7%22.7%33.4%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA9.539.536.5412.047.21——————————
P/B1.901.900.740.370.69——————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-10.1%-10.1%-0.8%-4.3%—4.7%-6.1%-26.9%108.1%8.3%-7.7%-1.7%-8.5%-4.5%—
EPS Growth-972.9%-972.9%62.4%-582.6%—10400.0%101.8%-129.1%-66.3%274.8%19.2%73.3%-85.6%-9.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +133.5%

Total return

+133.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.59 → -6.33

Residual

+133.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+133.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.