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SAP.JO$1196.00+0.17%
Fair $1196.00+0.0%

SAP.JO

Sappi Limited

Basic Materials / Paper & Paper ProductsJohannesburg

$1196.00

+2.00 (+0.17%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1196.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $197.0M · quality 47.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 1.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · SAP.JOLocal privado en este navegador · Sappi Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.3B

P/E

19933.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

1418.3x

↑

ROE

1.3%

↑

Gross Margin

14.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.67

↑
52-Week Range$1196
$1171$3474

TradingView lightweight chart

SAP.JO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,196Periodo -68.9%
Fair value: $1,196

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.4%

FCF / Net income

-10.58x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.46B · net income $33.0M · FCF $-349.0M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

14.2%+3.8% pts

Operating margin

3.3%+0.6% pts

Net margin

0.6%+0.4% pts

FCF margin

-6.4%— pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$5.46B$5.46B$5.81B$7.30B$5.26B
Net Income$33.0M$33.0M$259.0M$536.0M$13.0M
EBITDA$497.0M$497.0M$737.0M$1.08B—
EPS0.060.060.440.900.02
Gross Margin14.2%14.2%15.6%18.8%10.4%
Operating Margin3.3%3.3%6.6%10.5%2.7%
Net Margin0.6%0.6%4.5%7.3%0.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.670.670.690.821.17
Current Ratio1.351.35———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-349.0M$-349.0M$197.0M$500.0M—
Returns
ROE1.3%1.3%10.6%22.7%0.7%
Valuation
P/E19933.3319933.339925.005111.11202350.00
EV/EBITDA1418.331418.333583.952556.58—
P/B272.88272.881079.871172.631135.01
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.0%-6.0%-20.4%38.6%—
EPS Growth-86.4%-86.4%-51.1%4400.0%—
Dividend Yield9.9%9.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

1109.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$106.13

Spread vs growth

-1195.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

363.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$128.41

Spread vs growth

-449.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

125.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$206.81

Spread vs growth

-212.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -54.5%

Total return

-54.5%

Start / end P/E

7622.7x → 19933.3x

EPS bridge

0.44 → 0.06

Residual

-139.5%

EPS growth-86.4%
Multiple rerating+161.5%
Dividend+9.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-139.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.