StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
SMGR.JK$1765.00-4.79%
Fair $1765.00+0.0%

SMGR.JK

PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk

Basic Materials / Building MaterialsJakarta

$1765.00

-85.00 (-4.79%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1765.00Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.8T · quality 83.0/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 79/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · SMGR.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$11.89T

P/E

52.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

8.6x

↓

ROE

0.4%

↑

Gross Margin

20.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.24

↑
52-Week Range$1765
$1690$3260

TradingView lightweight chart

SMGR.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,690Periodo -3.2%
Fair value: $1,765

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.1%

FCF CAGR

-14.4%

FCF margin

7.4%

FCF / Net income

13.69x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $35.24T · net income $190.85B · FCF $2.61T

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.1%-9.3% pts

Operating margin

4.5%-8.0% pts

Net margin

0.5%-6.0% pts

FCF margin

7.4%-4.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$35243.75B$35243.75B$36186.13B$38651.36B$36378.60B
Net Income$190.85B$190.85B$719.76B$2170.50B$2364.84B
EBITDA$2047.50B$2047.50B$3043.29B$5276.34B$5322.85B
EPS28.0028.00107.00321.00397.00
Gross Margin20.1%20.1%21.9%26.3%29.4%
Operating Margin4.5%4.5%5.9%11.5%12.5%
Net Margin0.5%0.5%2.0%5.6%6.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.240.240.250.370.39
Current Ratio1.141.14———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2612.69B$2612.69B$2778.18B$3992.97B$4165.36B
Returns
ROE0.4%0.4%1.6%5.0%5.5%
Valuation
P/E51.9651.9630.5619.8617.82
EV/EBITDA8.638.639.629.849.95
P/B0.270.270.500.990.99
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.6%-2.6%-6.4%6.2%—
EPS Growth-73.8%-73.8%-66.7%-19.1%—
Dividend Yield1.7%1.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

77.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$156.61

Spread vs growth

-151.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

46.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$189.50

Spread vs growth

-120.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

27.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$305.20

Spread vs growth

-100.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -31.3%

Total return

-31.3%

Start / end P/E

23.6x → 60.4x

EPS bridge

107.00 → 28.00

Residual

-115.4%

EPS growth-73.8%
Multiple rerating+156.3%
Dividend+1.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-115.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.