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SOJA3.SA$6.25-0.48%
Fair $6.25+0.0%

SOJA3.SA

Boa Safra Sementes S.A.

Basic Materials / Agricultural InputsSão Paulo

$6.25

-0.03 (-0.48%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.25Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-60.3M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 1.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · SOJA3.SALocal privado en este navegador · Boa Safra Sementes S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$882M

P/E

78.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

6.8x

↓

ROE

1.5%

↑

Gross Margin

10.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.04

↑
52-Week Range$6
$6$11

TradingView lightweight chart

SOJA3.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.250Periodo -59.4%
Fair value: $6.250

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.7%

FCF / Net income

-4.87x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.62B · net income $20.0M · FCF $-97.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.1%-2.4% pts

Operating margin

3.5%-7.1% pts

Net margin

0.8%-8.9% pts

FCF margin

-3.7%-5.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.62B$2.62B$1.83B$2.06B$1.76B
Net Income$20.0M$20.0M$93.5M$301.5M$169.3M
EBITDA$246.2M$246.2M$245.8M$320.3M$223.0M
EPS0.140.140.692.451.37
Gross Margin10.1%10.1%12.7%14.1%12.5%
Operating Margin3.5%3.5%7.9%12.3%10.6%
Net Margin0.8%0.8%5.1%14.6%9.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.041.040.320.590.31
Current Ratio4.604.60———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-97.4M$-97.4M$-60.3M$115.7M$36.9M
Returns
ROE1.5%1.5%6.9%29.8%17.7%
Valuation
P/E78.1378.1313.716.077.43
EV/EBITDA6.796.795.986.115.84
P/B0.610.610.951.811.32
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth42.9%42.9%-11.2%17.4%—
EPS Growth-79.6%-79.6%-72.0%79.3%—
Dividend Yield7.0%7.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

58.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.55

Spread vs growth

-137.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

36.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.67

Spread vs growth

-116.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

22.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.08

Spread vs growth

-102.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -35.4%

Total return

-35.4%

Start / end P/E

15.8x → 44.6x

EPS bridge

0.69 → 0.14

Residual

-145.2%

EPS growth-79.6%
Multiple rerating+182.5%
Dividend+7.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-145.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.