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SPGS.TA$2629.00+2.77%
Fair $2629.00+0.0%

SPGS.TA

Supergas Power (2019) Ltd

Utilities / Utilities - Regulated GasTel Aviv

$2629.00

+76.00 (+2.77%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2629.00Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-68.1M · quality 44.0/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 0.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · SPGS.TALocal privado en este navegador · Supergas Power (2019) Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$470M

P/E

93.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

479.1x

↑

ROE

0.7%

↓

Gross Margin

14.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.92

↑
52-Week Range$2629
$2080$3500

TradingView lightweight chart

SPGS.TA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,779Periodo -65.8%
Fair value: $2,629

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.1%

FCF / Net income

4.14x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.02B · net income $5.1M · FCF $21.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.5%-8.5% pts

Operating margin

-0.5%-7.3% pts

Net margin

0.5%-1.4% pts

FCF margin

2.1%+10.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.02B$1.02B$856.3M$707.2M$773.8M
Net Income$5.1M$5.1M$7.4M$-71.5M$14.6M
EBITDA$99.5M$99.5M$106.8M$68.7M$101.3M
EPS——0.41-4.340.91
Gross Margin14.5%14.5%19.6%22.3%23.1%
Operating Margin-0.5%-0.5%-1.2%0.2%6.8%
Net Margin0.5%0.5%0.9%-10.1%1.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.920.920.930.930.78
Current Ratio0.780.78———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$21.0M$21.0M$-79.6M$-68.1M$-63.6M
Returns
ROE0.7%0.7%0.9%-8.9%1.8%
Valuation
P/E93.8993.895366.27—7224.31
EV/EBITDA479.11479.11379.76619.541044.90
P/B62.0962.0949.5352.31131.22
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth19.3%19.3%21.1%-8.6%—
EPS Growth——109.6%-579.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +12.3%

Total return

+12.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.41 → n/d

Residual

+12.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+12.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.