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v0.1
SPH$19.16-1.24%
Fair $19.16+0.0%

SPH

Suburban Propane Partners, L.P.

Utilities / Utilities - Regulated GasNYSE

$19.16

-0.24 (-1.24%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $19.16Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 7/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $114.3M · quality 56.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 76/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 18Warnings: 1unknown: 18
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.22, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · SPHLocal privado en este navegador · Suburban Propane Partners, L.P.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.3B

P/E

9.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

10.1x

↑

ROE

17.8%

↑

Gross Margin

60.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.22

↑
52-Week Range$19
$17$21

TradingView lightweight chart

SPH price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $19.16Periodo +9.9%
Fair value: $19.16

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2008–2025 · 17 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.6%

FCF CAGR

+0.9%

FCF margin

8.0%

FCF / Net income

1.07x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.43B · net income $106.6M · FCF $114.3M

2008-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

60.6%— pts

Operating margin

14.4%+4.9% pts

Net margin

7.4%-2.4% pts

FCF margin

8.0%+1.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Income Statement
Revenue$1.43B$1.43B$1.33B$1.43B$1.50B$1.29B$1.11B$1.27B$1.34B$1.19B$1.05B$1.42B$1.94B$1.70B$1.06B$1.19B$1.14B$1.14B$1.57B
Net Income$106.6M$106.6M$74.2M$123.8M$139.7M$122.8M$60.8M$68.6M$76.5M$38.0M$14.4M$84.4M$94.5M$78.8M$638000.00$115.0M$115.3M$165.2M$154.9M
EBITDA$256.2M$256.2M$216.5M$260.4M$259.6M$317.8M$257.1M$271.7M$283.2M$256.5M$220.0M$311.1M$326.5M$307.4M$88.7M$178.9M$184.2M$241.0M$178.5M
EPS1.621.621.141.922.181.940.971.101.240.620.241.381.561.340.023.223.244.964.70
Gross Margin60.6%60.6%60.7%58.7%52.6%——————————————
Operating Margin14.4%14.4%12.9%14.5%13.7%16.5%12.7%11.9%11.8%10.8%8.6%12.5%9.8%10.4%3.9%12.0%13.5%18.4%9.5%
Net Margin7.4%7.4%5.6%8.7%9.3%9.5%5.5%5.4%5.7%3.2%1.4%6.0%4.9%4.6%0.1%9.7%10.1%14.5%9.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.222.222.472.432.44——————————————
Current Ratio1.081.08—————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$114.3M$114.3M$101.2M$180.3M$176.2M$196.7M$176.9M$191.8M$177.5M$135.7M$119.0M—$195.5M$186.5M$93.5M$110.5M$136.7M$224.7M$98.7M
Returns
ROE17.8%17.8%13.6%22.7%28.1%——————————————
Valuation
P/E9.789.7815.858.487.45——————————————
EV/EBITDA10.0910.0911.639.138.66——————————————
P/B2.102.102.141.922.09——————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.9%7.9%-7.1%-4.8%—16.3%-12.6%-5.7%13.2%13.6%-26.2%-26.9%13.8%60.2%-10.7%4.7%-0.6%-27.4%—
EPS Growth42.1%42.1%-40.6%-11.9%—100.0%-11.8%-11.3%100.0%158.3%-82.6%-11.5%16.4%6600.0%-99.4%-0.6%-34.7%5.5%—
Dividend Yield6.8%6.8%—————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

1.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.70

Spread vs growth

40.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

4.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.06

Spread vs growth

37.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$3.31

Spread vs growth

34.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +8.5%

Total return

+8.5%

Start / end P/E

16.5x → 11.8x

EPS bridge

1.14 → 1.62

Residual

-12.0%

EPS growth+42.1%
Multiple rerating-28.4%
Dividend+6.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-12.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.