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TRAN.BA$4095.00+2.38%
Fair $4095.00+0.0%

TRAN.BA

Compañía de Transporte de Energía Eléctrica en Alta Tensión Transener S.A.

Utilities / Utilities - Regulated ElectricBuenos Aires

$4095.00

+95.00 (+2.38%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4095.00Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 77/B
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $116.2B · quality 58.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 47/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

77/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · TRAN.BALocal privado en este navegador · Compañía de Transporte de Energía Eléctrica en Alta Tensión Transener S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.82T

P/E

8.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.0x

↓

ROE

22.5%

↑

Gross Margin

55.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$4095
$1441$4410

TradingView lightweight chart

TRAN.BA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4,095Periodo +535194.1%
Fair value: $4,095

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+80.0%

FCF CAGR

+294.8%

FCF margin

22.1%

FCF / Net income

0.65x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $573.14B · net income $194.43B · FCF $126.52B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

55.1%+40.1% pts

Operating margin

48.5%+43.0% pts

Net margin

33.9%+28.5% pts

FCF margin

22.1%+20.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$573.14B$573.14B$447.36B$284.08B$98.24B
Net Income$194.43B$194.43B$92.40B$14.32B$5.32B
EBITDA$346.51B$346.51B$190.15B$63.71B$27.32B
EPS437.24437.24207.8032.2111.97
Gross Margin55.1%55.1%39.4%21.8%15.0%
Operating Margin48.5%48.5%30.5%10.5%5.6%
Net Margin33.9%33.9%20.7%5.0%5.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.01
Current Ratio1.531.53———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$126.52B$126.52B$116.16B$7.98B$2.06B
Returns
ROE22.5%22.5%11.3%2.6%2.2%
Valuation
P/E8.368.3613.6236.7916.70
EV/EBITDA5.045.045.937.832.76
P/B2.112.111.540.960.36
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth28.1%28.1%57.5%189.2%—
EPS Growth110.4%110.4%545.1%169.0%—
Dividend Yield7.4%7.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$363.36

Spread vs growth

116.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

0.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$439.67

Spread vs growth

110.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$708.09

Spread vs growth

105.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +69.9%

Total return

+69.9%

Start / end P/E

12.1x → 9.4x

EPS bridge

207.80 → 437.24

Residual

-25.1%

EPS growth+110.4%
Multiple rerating-22.8%
Dividend+7.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-25.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.