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Recent

v0.1
TRV$288.93-1.01%
Fair $203.78-29.5%

TRV

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

Financial Services / Insurance - Property & CasualtyNYSE

$288.93

-2.96 (-1.01%)

Modestly Overvalued-29.5%Fair Value $203.78Fund rank 61/100 · PassSEC 19/19 yrs|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 5/9

Book/ROE base 3Y

$271.73

-2.0% CAGR · P/B 1.4x

Book/ROE base 5Y

$328.79

+2.6% base · +3.9% expected

Precio de entrada

$154.87

MOS 17% · confianza 92%

Book/ROE escenarios

audited · book/share $144.53 · quality 53.0/100

Pass 61/100
Bear 5Y$113.45-17.1%
Base 5Y$328.79+2.6%
Bull 5Y$629.68+16.9%
Return 51/100Downside 27/100Model quality 91/100Data QA 100/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

21/100

-29.5% upside

5Y CAGR

+3.9%

66/100

Data QA

90/100

SEC 100%

Latest source: sec-companyfactsPeriods: 19Warnings: 0sec-companyfacts: 19
Generic DCF/FCF bypassed: financial balance-sheet sector valued with a sector-specific Book/ROE model.
Thesis & Journal · TRVLocal privado en este navegador · The Travelers Companies, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$61.4B

P/E

10.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

19.1%

↑

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$289
$249$313

TradingView lightweight chart

TRV price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $288.93Periodo +775.5%
Buy zone: $154.87Bear 5Y: $113.45Fair value: $203.78Base 5Y: $328.79Bull 5Y: $629.68

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2007–2025 · 18 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

21.7%

FCF / Net income

1.69x

Latest source

SEC-backed

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $48.83B · net income $6.29B · FCF $10.61B

2007-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

12.9%— pts

FCF margin

21.7%— pts
SEC-backed annual metrics active for 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007. Local SEC Companyfacts override Yahoo/FMP for audited annual line items; provider-only fields remain as fallback.
MetricTTM
2025SEC
2024SEC
2023SEC
2022SEC
2021SEC
2020SEC
2019SEC
2018SEC
2017SEC
2016SEC
2015SEC
2014SEC
2013SEC
2012SEC
2011SEC
2010SEC
2009SEC
2008SEC
2007SEC
Income Statement
Revenue$48.83B$48.83B$46.42B$41.36B$36.88B$34.82B$31.98B$31.58B$30.28B$28.90B$27.63B$26.82B$6.78B$26.19B$25.74B$6.37B$25.11B$24.68B$24.48B$26.02B
Net Income$6.29B$6.29B$5.00B$2.99B$2.84B$3.66B$2.70B$2.62B$2.52B$2.06B$3.01B$3.44B$1.04B$3.67B$2.47B$1.43B$3.22B$3.62B$2.92B—
EPS27.4327.4321.4712.7911.7714.4910.529.929.287.3310.2810.883.119.746.301.516.626.334.816.85
Operating Margin————————————53.7%13.6%9.5%21.8%12.1%14.6%——
Net Margin12.9%12.9%10.8%7.2%7.7%10.5%8.4%8.3%8.3%7.1%10.9%12.8%15.3%14.0%9.6%5.6%12.8%14.7%11.9%—
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.020.030.030.020.020.260.260.270.270.260.24——
Current Ratio0.340.34——————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$10.61B$10.61B$9.07B$7.71B$6.46B———————————————
Returns
ROE19.1%19.1%17.9%12.0%13.2%12.7%9.2%10.1%11.0%8.7%13.0%14.6%4.2%14.8%——————
Valuation
P/E10.9010.9013.9323.3825.4020.6328.4230.1432.2240.7929.0827.4896.1430.7047.46198.0145.1647.2362.1643.65
P/B2.072.072.482.793.322.602.613.023.523.513.753.984.124.514.595.145.666.207.147.51
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.2%5.2%12.2%12.1%5.9%8.9%1.3%4.3%4.8%4.6%3.0%295.3%-74.1%1.8%303.9%-74.6%1.8%0.8%-5.9%—
EPS Growth27.8%27.8%67.9%8.7%-18.8%37.7%6.0%6.9%26.6%-28.7%-5.5%249.8%-68.1%54.6%317.2%-77.2%4.6%31.6%-29.8%—
Dividend Yield1.7%1.7%——————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-2.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$25.64

Spread vs growth

30.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

2.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$31.02

Spread vs growth

25.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$49.96

Spread vs growth

21.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +6.5%

Total return

+6.5%

Start / end P/E

12.8x → 10.5x

EPS bridge

21.47 → 27.43

Residual

-5.0%

EPS growth+27.8%
Multiple rerating-18.0%
Dividend+1.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.