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TSBK$40.16-1.03%
Fair $40.16+0.0%

TSBK

Timberland Bancorp, Inc.

Financial Services / Banks - RegionalNasdaqGM

$40.16

-0.42 (-1.03%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $40.16Fund rank 39/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 7/9

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 44.0/100

Data gap 39/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 87/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 0unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · TSBKLocal privado en este navegador · Timberland Bancorp, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$314M

P/E

10.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

11.1%

↑

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.09

↓
52-Week Range$40
$29$44

TradingView lightweight chart

TSBK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $40.16Periodo +614.0%
Fair value: $40.16

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.5%

FCF CAGR

+4.6%

FCF margin

36.2%

FCF / Net income

0.97x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $78.4M · net income $29.2M · FCF $28.4M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

37.2%+37.8% pts

FCF margin

36.2%+0.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$78.4M$78.4M$70.9M$75.6M$64.7M$55.0M$55.6M$55.7M$41.8M$38.3M$34.9M$31.2M$29.9M$30.2M$31.6M$34.0M$36.6M$38.8M
Net Income$29.2M$29.2M$24.3M$27.1M$23.6M$27.6M$24.3M$24.0M$16.7M$14.2M$10.2M$8.3M$5.8M$4.8M$4.6M$1.1M$-2.3M$-242000.00
EPS3.673.673.013.292.823.272.882.842.221.921.431.170.800.580.520.00-0.50-0.15
Net Margin37.2%37.2%34.3%35.9%36.5%50.2%43.7%43.1%40.0%37.0%29.1%26.6%19.6%15.7%14.5%3.2%-6.3%-0.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.090.090.090.160.01—————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$28.4M$28.4M$21.7M$29.9M$25.6M$28.7M$31.9M$16.0M$19.3M$10.3M$11.2M$6.9M$7.4M$10.3M$14.0M$9.7M$6.5M$13.8M
Returns
ROE11.1%11.1%9.9%11.6%10.8%13.3%12.9%14.0%13.4%12.8%10.5%9.3%7.1%5.3%5.1%1.3%-2.7%—
Valuation
P/E10.3010.309.588.429.97—————————————
P/B1.221.220.950.981.08—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.6%10.6%-6.3%17.0%—-1.1%-0.3%33.2%9.1%9.9%11.9%4.4%-1.3%-4.3%-7.0%-7.2%-5.7%—
EPS Growth21.9%21.9%-8.5%16.7%—13.5%1.4%27.9%15.6%34.3%22.2%46.2%37.9%11.5%—100.0%-233.3%—
Dividend Yield2.8%2.8%————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$3.56

Spread vs growth

22.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

3.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$4.31

Spread vs growth

18.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$6.94

Spread vs growth

15.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +34.8%

Total return

+34.8%

Start / end P/E

10.1x → 10.9x

EPS bridge

3.01 → 3.67

Residual

+1.8%

EPS growth+21.9%
Multiple rerating+8.2%
Dividend+2.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.