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TSG.WA$1.84-2.65%
Fair $1.84+0.0%

TSG.WA

Tesgas S.A.

Utilities / Utilities - Regulated GasWarsaw

$1.84

-0.05 (-2.65%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.84Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 24/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $10.7M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

24/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -0.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · TSG.WALocal privado en este navegador · Tesgas S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$21M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

1.0x

↓

ROE

-0.2%

↓

Gross Margin

18.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.14

↓
52-Week Range$2
$2$3

TradingView lightweight chart

TSG.WA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.840Periodo -86.8%
Fair value: $1.840

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-11.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

0.1%

FCF / Net income

-0.25x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $80.1M · net income $-202000.0 · FCF $51000.0

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

18.4%+0.4% pts

Operating margin

0.3%-5.7% pts

Net margin

-0.3%-6.0% pts

FCF margin

0.1%+4.9% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$80.1M$80.1M$140.4M$128.8M$113.6M
Net Income$-202000.00$-202000.00$4.3M$2.7M$6.6M
EBITDA$5.5M$5.5M$12.0M$8.4M$11.8M
EPS-0.02-0.020.380.240.58
Gross Margin18.4%18.4%17.0%14.6%18.0%
Operating Margin0.3%0.3%4.9%3.4%6.0%
Net Margin-0.3%-0.3%3.0%2.1%5.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.140.140.130.120.22
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$51000.00$51000.00$28.5M$10.7M$-5.5M
Returns
ROE-0.2%-0.2%4.9%3.2%7.6%
Valuation
P/E——7.5314.426.21
EV/EBITDA0.990.990.965.284.21
P/B0.240.240.370.460.47
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-43.0%-43.0%9.0%13.4%—
EPS Growth-105.3%-105.3%58.3%-58.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -31.6%

Total return

-31.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.38 → -0.02

Residual

-31.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-31.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.