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ULTRAMAR.BO$403.65-0.70%
Fair $403.65+0.0%

ULTRAMAR.BO

Ultramarine & Pigments Limited

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsBSE

$403.65

-2.85 (-0.70%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $403.65Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $370.8M · quality 60.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 49/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · ULTRAMAR.BOLocal privado en este navegador · Ultramarine & Pigments Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$11.8B

P/E

14.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.1x

↓

ROE

9.3%

↑

Gross Margin

27.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.10

↓
52-Week Range$404
$365$614

TradingView lightweight chart

ULTRAMAR.BO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $403.65Periodo -25.3%
Fair value: $403.65

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.8%

FCF CAGR

+253.0%

FCF margin

7.8%

FCF / Net income

0.75x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.75B · net income $807.7M · FCF $603.9M

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

27.3%-1.5% pts

Operating margin

12.5%-2.9% pts

Net margin

10.4%-2.1% pts

FCF margin

7.8%+7.5% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$7.75B$7.75B$6.95B$5.58B$5.54B
Net Income$807.7M$807.7M$750.5M$576.0M$692.0M
EBITDA$1.38B$1.38B$1.30B$1.04B$1.12B
EPS27.6627.6625.7019.7223.70
Gross Margin27.3%27.3%28.2%28.9%28.9%
Operating Margin12.5%12.5%13.5%13.1%15.4%
Net Margin10.4%10.4%10.8%10.3%12.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.100.100.100.090.10
Current Ratio2.052.05———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$603.9M$603.9M$370.8M$147.7M$13.7M
Returns
ROE9.3%9.3%7.7%6.4%9.4%
Valuation
P/E14.6014.6018.26——
EV/EBITDA9.109.1010.77——
P/B1.361.361.41——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.5%11.5%24.4%0.8%—
EPS Growth7.6%7.6%30.3%-16.8%—
Dividend Yield1.5%1.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

9.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$35.82

Spread vs growth

-1.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

9.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$43.34

Spread vs growth

-1.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$69.80

Spread vs growth

-2.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -25.1%

Total return

-25.1%

Start / end P/E

21.4x → 14.6x

EPS bridge

25.70 → 27.66

Residual

-2.4%

EPS growth+7.6%
Multiple rerating-31.7%
Dividend+1.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.