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v0.1
VMC$281.56-0.48%
Fair $281.56+0.0%

VMC

Vulcan Materials Company

Basic Materials / Building MaterialsNYSE

$281.56

-1.36 (-0.48%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $281.56Fund rank 45/100 · PassSEC 19/19 yrs|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

$152.26

-18.5% CAGR · yield 6.0%

FCF base 5Y

$197.78

-6.8% base · -5.4% expected

Precio de entrada

$92.71

MOS 17% · confianza 89%

FCF escenarios

audited · normalized FCF $806.1M · quality 74.7/100

Pass 45/100
Bear 5Y$112.16-16.8%
Base 5Y$197.78-6.8%
Bull 5Y$344.74+4.1%
Return 12/100Downside 28/100Model quality 75/100Data QA 100/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

-5.4%

28/100

Data QA

90/100

SEC 100%

Latest source: sec-companyfactsPeriods: 19Warnings: 0sec-companyfacts: 19
Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · VMCLocal privado en este navegador · Vulcan Materials Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$36.5B

P/E

32.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

17.8x

↑

ROE

12.6%

↑

Gross Margin

27.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.51

↑
52-Week Range$282
$252$331

TradingView lightweight chart

VMC price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $281.56Periodo +615.1%
Buy zone: $92.71Bear 5Y: $112.16Fair value: $281.56Base 5Y: $197.78Bull 5Y: $344.74

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2007–2025 · 18 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.0%

FCF CAGR

+9.4%

FCF margin

14.3%

FCF / Net income

1.05x

Latest source

SEC-backed

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.94B · net income $1.08B · FCF $1.14B

2007-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.4%-1.2% pts

Operating margin

20.4%-1.1% pts

Net margin

13.6%+0.0% pts

FCF margin

14.3%+7.5% pts
SEC-backed annual metrics active for 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007. Local SEC Companyfacts override Yahoo/FMP for audited annual line items; provider-only fields remain as fallback.
MetricTTM
2025SEC
2024SEC
2023SEC
2022SEC
2021SEC
2020SEC
2019SEC
2018SEC
2017SEC
2016SEC
2015SEC
2014SEC
2013SEC
2012SEC
2011SEC
2010SEC
2009SEC
2008SEC
2007SEC
Income Statement
Revenue$7.94B$7.94B$7.42B$7.78B$7.32B$5.55B$4.86B$4.93B$4.38B$3.89B$3.59B$3.42B$2.99B$2.77B$2.57B$2.56B$2.56B$2.69B$3.65B$3.33B
Net Income$1.08B$1.08B$911.9M$933.2M$575.6M$670.8M$584.5M$617.7M$515.8M$601.2M$419.5M$221.2M$204.9M$24.4M$-52.6M$-70.8M$-96.5M$30.3M$918000.00$450.9M
EBITDA$2.36B$2.36B$1.98B$2.04B$1.53B$1.47B$1.29B$1.25B$1.09B$945.0M$950.8M$824.6M$817.6M$497.5M$416.7M$425.2M$367.6M$543.1M$638.2M$985.9M
EPS8.118.116.856.984.315.024.394.633.854.463.091.641.540.19-0.41-0.55-0.750.250.014.54
Gross Margin27.4%27.4%27.0%25.0%21.3%24.7%26.4%25.5%25.1%25.5%27.5%25.1%19.6%15.4%13.0%11.1%11.8%16.6%20.5%28.6%
Operating Margin20.4%20.4%18.4%18.3%13.0%18.2%18.4%17.8%17.1%16.4%18.5%16.1%18.0%6.9%3.3%2.5%-0.6%5.5%6.8%21.5%
Net Margin13.6%13.6%12.3%12.0%7.9%12.1%12.0%12.5%11.8%15.5%11.7%6.5%6.8%0.9%-2.0%-2.8%-3.8%1.1%0.0%13.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.510.510.650.520.560.590.550.500.530.570.430.440.480.640.710.740.610.620.70—
Current Ratio2.592.59——————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.14B$1.14B$806.1M$664.2M$535.6M$560.6M$708.2M$600.0M$363.7M$185.1M$294.4M$230.3M$36.2M$81.1M$145.1M$70.1M$116.4M$343.3M$82.0M$224.8M
Returns
ROE12.6%12.6%11.2%12.5%8.3%10.2%9.7%11.0%9.9%12.1%9.2%5.0%4.9%0.6%-1.4%-1.9%-2.4%0.8%0.0%11.9%
Valuation
P/E32.1432.1438.0537.3460.4851.9259.3756.3067.7058.4484.35158.93169.251371.84———1042.6026065.0057.41
EV/EBITDA17.8417.8419.9416.1818.68———————————————
P/B4.064.064.274.665.035.325.766.186.717.087.747.918.308.708.998.898.447.738.196.86
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.1%7.1%-4.7%6.4%31.8%14.3%-1.5%12.5%12.7%8.3%5.0%14.3%8.1%7.9%0.1%0.2%-4.9%-26.3%9.7%—
EPS Growth18.4%18.4%-1.9%61.9%-14.1%14.4%-5.2%20.3%-13.7%44.3%88.4%6.5%710.5%146.3%25.5%26.7%-400.0%2400.0%-99.8%—
Dividend Yield0.7%0.7%——————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

45.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$24.98

Spread vs growth

-27.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

30.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$30.23

Spread vs growth

-11.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$48.69

Spread vs growth

-1.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +7.0%

Total return

+7.0%

Start / end P/E

38.7x → 34.7x

EPS bridge

6.85 → 8.11

Residual

-1.9%

EPS growth+18.4%
Multiple rerating-10.3%
Dividend+0.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.