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WEF.TO$15.83-0.19%
Fair $15.83+0.0%

WEF.TO

Western Forest Products Inc.

Basic Materials / Lumber & Wood ProductionToronto

$15.83

-0.03 (-0.19%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $15.83Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-14.0M · quality 59.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -16.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · WEF.TOLocal privado en este navegador · Western Forest Products Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$167M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-16.7%

↓

Gross Margin

7.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$16
$10$17

TradingView lightweight chart

WEF.TO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $15.83Periodo -73.6%
Fair value: $15.83

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-11.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.4%

FCF / Net income

0.18x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $986.5M · net income $-79.8M · FCF $-14.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

7.7%-9.9% pts

Operating margin

-12.0%-18.0% pts

Net margin

-8.1%-12.4% pts

FCF margin

-1.4%+2.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$986.5M$986.5M$1.06B$1.02B$1.44B
Net Income$-79.8M$-79.8M$-30.4M$-68.5M$61.7M
EBITDA$-49.1M$-49.1M$13.2M$-35.1M$137.0M
EPS-7.56-7.56-2.88-6.605.70
Gross Margin7.7%7.7%8.5%5.0%17.6%
Operating Margin-12.0%-12.0%-4.4%-8.2%6.0%
Net Margin-8.1%-8.1%-2.9%-6.7%4.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.190.190.04
Current Ratio2.632.63———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-14.0M$-14.0M$-13.3M$-78.2M$-56.8M
Returns
ROE-16.7%-16.7%-5.4%-12.1%9.5%
Valuation
P/E————6.37
EV/EBITDA——18.15—2.93
P/B0.350.350.260.400.61
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.3%-7.3%4.6%-29.5%—
EPS Growth-162.5%-162.5%56.4%-215.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +28.7%

Total return

+28.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-2.88 → -7.56

Residual

+28.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+28.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.