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XPBR31.SA$83.46-1.00%
Fair $83.46+0.0%

XPBR31.SA

XP Inc.

Financial Services / Capital MarketsSão Paulo

$83.46

-0.84 (-1.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $83.46Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 6/9
High Debt

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 86.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 78/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 4.53, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · XPBR31.SALocal privado en este navegador · XP Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$43.1B

P/E

8.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

22.1x

↑

ROE

22.0%

↑

Gross Margin

24.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

4.53

↑
52-Week Range$83
$81$119

TradingView lightweight chart

XPBR31.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $83.46Periodo -62.7%
Fair value: $83.46

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.3%

FCF CAGR

+90.3%

FCF margin

145.0%

FCF / Net income

2.24x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.97B · net income $5.17B · FCF $11.56B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.5%+6.8% pts

Operating margin

-56.7%+3.3% pts

Net margin

64.9%+4.6% pts

FCF margin

145.0%+116.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.97B$7.97B$7.42B$6.53B$5.94B
Net Income$5.17B$5.17B$4.51B$3.90B$3.58B
EBITDA$6.38B$6.38B$6.03B$4.81B$4.05B
EPS9.729.728.237.166.25
Gross Margin24.5%24.5%24.5%23.8%17.6%
Operating Margin-56.7%-56.7%-52.7%-59.2%-60.0%
Net Margin64.9%64.9%60.8%59.7%60.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity4.534.535.743.531.98
Current Ratio1.391.39———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$11.56B$11.56B$10.85B$7.93B$1.68B
Returns
ROE22.0%22.0%22.5%20.0%21.0%
Valuation
P/E8.398.398.5917.3912.45
EV/EBITDA22.0822.0824.5927.5518.42
P/B1.891.891.933.492.62
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.3%7.3%13.7%10.0%—
EPS Growth18.1%18.1%14.9%14.7%—
Dividend Yield2.4%2.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-8.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$7.41

Spread vs growth

26.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$8.96

Spread vs growth

19.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$14.43

Spread vs growth

14.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -21.6%

Total return

-21.6%

Start / end P/E

13.3x → 8.6x

EPS bridge

8.23 → 9.72

Residual

-6.4%

EPS growth+18.1%
Multiple rerating-35.6%
Dividend+2.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.